There may be several
competing ideas on how best to buy weapons
systems, but there must be only a few on how not
to buy arms. Surely, one of the most challenging
ideas that fall into the how-not-to-buy category
must be the launching of a procurement program,
only to be still crawling at the 're-launching'
phase after a decade.
Burak BEKDÝL
There may be several
competing ideas on how best to buy weapons
systems, but there must be only a few on how
not to buy arms. Surely, one of the most
challenging ideas that falls into the
how-not-to-buy category must be the launching of
a procurement program, only to be still crawling
at the “re-launching” phase after a decade.
Welcome to Turkey's attack helicopter program!
Here is the chronological
anatomy of an “attempted” defense buy, probably
not seen elsewhere in the world:
1995: Turkey
launches a multi-billion-dollar program for the
co-production of scores of attack helicopters.
1997: Murad Bayar,
now Turkey's chief defense procurement official
and head of the Undersecretariat for the Defense
Industry (SSM), is a young and promising SSM
official who heads the team that oversees the
program.
1998: Turkey
shortlists the contenders to three.
2000: Turkey selects
Bell Helicopter Textron for the co-production
contract. Hasty cheers at Bell's Fort Worth,
Texas, (and Ankara) headquarters as contract
negotiations begin.
2001: Turkey insists
on installing a “national” mission computer on
the platforms as part of the co-production
program. (The mission computer is one of the
most critical systems that command the
helicopter's avionics, electronics and warfare
systems.)
2001: The Department
of Defense in Washington, in a letter to Ankara,
makes clear that it will not issue an export
license for the deal because a Turkish (or any
non-U.S.) mission computer cannot be installed
on a U.S.-made platform.
July 2002: Talks
with Bell collapse over pricing and technology
transfer issues. Talks with rival Kamov-IAI, a
Russian-Israeli partnership, begin.
August 2002: Turkey
begins to weigh the option of buying
off-the-shelf, instead of co-producing.
April 2003: The
attack helicopter program faces suspension
because of a cash squeeze.
December 2003: SSM
Undersecretary Dursun Ali Ercan recommends the
Kamov-IAI solution as the best option to meet
Turkey's (then) eight-year-old requirement to
procure attack helicopters. But few in the Army
are impressed with the proposed model that
coincidentally carried the name of the Turkish
prime minister: Erdogan.
February 2004: Mr.
Bayar takes over as SSM chief.
May 2004: Turkey
cancels the co-production program altogether.
February 2005:
Turkey officially launches international bidding
for a mix of off-the-shelf/co-production model
that styles itself as off-the-shelf. Actually,
the model is a hybrid. The SSM releases a
Request for Proposal (RfP) for the competition.
Several U.S. and European manufacturers buy the
RfP. The bidding deadline is June 4.
April 2005: Bell
says it is withdrawing from competition it once
had won, but is now expected to join again.
May 2005: Turkey
revises the RfP, or the contractual clauses,
upon loud complaints from mainly U.S.
contenders. The new bidding deadline is Sept.
13.
September 2005: Mr.
Bayar says an indigenous mission computer and
other critical software have strategic
importance for Turkey; hence, they must be
nationally developed and manufactured. Potential
bidders are reluctant to bid, and the bidding
deadline is put off till Nov. 8.
November 2005: Bell
reiterates that it will not participate. Boeing
says it will only bid for the off-the-shelf
portion (10-30 helicopters) and not for the rest
of the program, which entails an eventual 91
helicopters. The European side is not
enthusiastic, either. Ankara fears a competition
“without the Americans” would be incomplete and
may push the Europeans to “inflate their
prices.” The new bidding deadline is Dec. 5.
If there have been four
bidding deadlines in a year for a contract that
goes up to around $3 billion, is it any surprise
that it has taken Ankara a decade only to
re-launch it?
When, hopefully, deliveries
begin under the “haunted” attack helicopter
program, it will probably be 13-15 years since
it first took off. Which military in the world
can tolerate 13-15 years before receiving the
weapons systems it thinks it needs for
operational purposes?
When the program took off,
Mr. Bayar was “just another” (but very talented)
SSM officer. He now heads the SSM. Mr. Bayar is
the fourth undersecretary to oversee Turkey's
defense procurement and the third one who has
had to sort out the attack helicopter program.
In other words, “the program” has seen all three
of the four SSM chiefs over the past two
decades!
Fortunately, Turkey has not
been in dire need of the helicopter gunships
that it intended to buy 10 years ago. But what
if it had been?
This column invariably
argues that it should be the military's job to
specify/justify a need for weaponry, the
government's to examine the need and give the
go-ahead and a civilian procurement office's job
to actually decide how and from which source to
buy it, sticking to the military's preferred
specifications. Stories like the attack
helicopter program only weaken this argument.
Would anyone have an answer if the men in
uniform were to stand up and ask: “Is this the
ideal procurement system in democracies? You
need a weapons system and you, hopefully, get it
in 15 years' time?” Equilibrium doesn't.